Sharon Pena (RA)
Coldwell Banker Realty

 

Welcome to the Luxury Market Report, your guide to luxury real estate market data and trends for North America. Produced monthly by The Institute for Luxury Home Marketing, this report provides an in-depth look at the top residential markets across the United States and Canada. Within the individual markets, you will find established luxury benchmark prices and detailed survey of luxury active and sold properties designed to showcase current market status and recent trends. The national report illustrates a compilation of the top North American markets to review overall standards and trends.

– LUXURY REPORT OVERVIEW –

The Institute for Luxury Home Marketing has analyzed a number of metrics — including sales prices, sales volumes, number of sales, sales-price-to-list-price ratios, days on market and price-per-square-foot – to provide you a comprehensive North American Luxury Market report.

Additionally, we have further examined all of the individual luxury markets to provide both an overview and an in-depth analysis - including, where data is sufficient, a breakdown by luxury single-family homes and luxury attached homes.

It is our intention to include additional luxury markets on a continual bases. If your market is not featured, please contact us so we can implement the necessary qualification process. More in-depth reports on the luxury communities in your market are available as well.

Looking through this report, you will notice three distinct market statuses, buyer's market, seller's Market, and balanced market. A Buyer's Market indicates that buyers have greater control over the price point. This market type is demonstrated by a substantial number of homes on the market and few sales, suggesting demand for residential properties is slow for that market and/or price point.

By contrast, a Seller's Market gives sellers greater control over the price point. Typically this means there are few homes on the market and a generous demand, causing competition between buyers who ultimately drive sales prices higher.

A Balanced Market indicates that neither the buyers nor the sellers control the price point at which that property will sell and that there is neither a glut nor a lack of inventory. Typically, this type of market sees a stabilization of both the list and sold price, the length of time the property is on the market as well as the expectancy amongst homeowners in their respective communities – so long as their home is priced in accordance with the current market value.

REPORT GLOSSARY

REMAINING INVENTORY: The total number of homes available at the close of a month.
DAYS ON MARKET: Measures the number of days a home is available on the market before a purchase offer is accepted.

LUXURY BENCHMARK PRICE: The price point that marks the transition from traditional homes to luxury homes.

NEW LISTINGS: The number of homes that entered the market during the current month. PRICE PER SQUARE FOOT: Measures the dollar amount of the home's price for an individual

square foot.

SALES RATIO: Sales Ratio defines market speed and determines whether the market currently favors buyers or sellers. Buyer's Market = up to 14%; Balanced Market = 15 to 20%; Seller's Market = 21% plus. If >100%, sales from previous month exceeds current inventory.

SP/LP RATIO: The Sales Price/List Price Ratio compares the value of the sold price to the value of the list price.

“Perhaps the significant sales volume increase can merely be attributed to some or all of these influences: a luxury market that recognized the value of on-going price stability, an increase in the volume of lower-valued luxury homes for sale and/or a decrease in the number of overpriced properties? Only time will tell if this is a trend or an anomaly.”

NORTH AMERICAN MARCH LUXURY REVIEW 2 0 1 8

Spring is in full bloom and so is the North American luxury housing market - unexpectedly there was a significantly higher number of homes sold in March than anticipated. Traditionally an increase in sales is expected, as the number of listings also increases when the market heads towards its busiest time, but predications for 2018 had indicated, at best, a levelling of the market.

March's luxury single-family market saw a 17% increase in new listings and a 55% increase in sales over February 2018. The attached luxury market saw a 13% increase in new listings and a 49% increase in sales. The median single-family days on market dipped from 60 days to just 43. Numbers this low were last seen back in May and June 2017. Attached luxury days on market also decreased from 42 days to 37, though this market has generally been moving at a quicker pace for the past 12 months.

Investigating further, luxury home prices continued to remain relatively stable - with listing prices only seeing a marginal rise of less than 1.5%. Median sales prices for single-family homes did drop by 3% and attached properties increased by 1% over the previous month, but both remained on par with March 2017.

On an interesting note, the median ratio of sold price to list price ratio rose favorably for single- family homes by 0.4% and for attached properties by 0.3%. While the single family luxury median home price may have dropped $47,842, in general, sellers received closer to their asking prices.

Perhaps the significant sales volume increase can merely be attributed to some or all of these influences: a luxury market that recognized the value of on-going price stability, an increase in the volume of lower-valued luxury homes for sale and/or a decrease in the number of overpriced properties? Only time will tell if this is a trend or an anomaly.

In line with these significant increases in sales, statistics illustrated that many luxury markets transitioned from buyer's markets to balanced and seller's markets, which should be good news for sellers. In March, there were 12 balanced and 12 seller's single-family markets, compared to just 5 balanced and 6 seller's markets in February 2018. Attached homes showed a greater shift to a seller's market with 5 balanced and 20 seller's markets in March compared to 6 balanced and 13 seller's markets last month.

On the local level, two Florida single-family markets had significantly positive swings last month. The Boca Raton/Delray Beach median luxury sales price rose 36% to $2,150,000 and the Naples luxury sales price rose 21% to $1,781,250. In the Boulder attached luxury market, the median sales prices rose 21% last month to $900,000.

In a recent report by Realtor.com on the Top 10 Hottest and Coldest US Luxury Markets by zip code, interesting trends provided further insight into the intriguing world of luxury real estate. Zip codes within Los Angeles, New York, and the Hawaiian Islands reported changes in building regulations, simple geographic limitations, pent-up demand, over development and saturation, which created some unexpected effects and results.

For more information on a particular luxury market, please refer to its corresponding individual report where trends can vary depending on population, location, seasons, and other local factors.

– 13-MONTH MARKET TRENDS* –

FOR THE LUXURY NORTH AMERICAN MARKET

Single-Family Homes Attached Homes Single-Family List Price Attached List Price

– LUXURY MONTHLY MARKET REVIEW –

 

A Review of Key Market Differences Month Over Month

February 2018 | March 2018

SINGLE-FAMILY HOMES

February Median Sale Price $1,436,594

Total Sales Ratio 10.44%
Median prices represent properties priced above respective city benchmark prices.

March

February New Listings 8,719

Median Days on Market 60

March

10,243 43

Median List Price

$1,785,000

$1,792,878

Total Inventory

31,866

34,019

$1,388,752 15.17%

Median SP/LP Ratio

96.84%

97.24%

Total Sold

3,327

5,160

Median Price per Sq. Ft.

$412

$398

Average Home Size

3,400

3,646



1,524 1,833 $47,842 17 4.73% New Listings Total Sold Med. Sale Price Days on Market Sales Ratio

SINGLE-FAMILY HOMES MARKET SUMMARY | MARCH 2018

  • Official Market Type: Balanced Market with a 15.17% Sales Ratio.1

  • Homes are selling for an average of 97.24% of list price.

  • The median luxury threshold2 price is $975,000 the median luxury home sale price is $1,388,752.

  • Markets with the Highest Median Sales Price: Vail ($4,460,000), LA-Beach Cities ($3,737,500), Marin County ($3,662,500), and Silicon Valley ($3,300,000).

  • Markets with the Highest Sales Ratio: Silicon Valley (95%), San Francisco (70%), Seattle (53%), and Sacramento (41%).

    1Sales Ratio defines market speed and market type: Buyer's = up to 14%; Balanced = 15 to 20%; Seller's = 21% plus. If >100%, sales from previous month exceeds current inventory. 2The luxury threshold price is set in December of each year by The Institute for Luxury Home Marketing.

– LUXURY MONTHLY MARKET REVIEW –

A Review of Key Market Differences Month Over Month

February 2018 | March 2018

ATTACHED HOMES

February Median Sale Price $940,000

Total Sales Ratio 12.57%
Median prices represent properties priced above respective city benchmark prices.

March

February

2,844 42

March

3,200 37

Median List Price

$1,132,000

$1,149,500

Total Inventory

10,591

10,961

$950,000 18.06%

New Listings
Median Days on Market

Median SP/LP Ratio

98.12%

98.44%

Total Sold

1,331

1,980

Median Price per Sq. Ft.

$545

$565

Average Home Size

2,014

2,119



356 649 $10,000 5 5.49% New Listings Total Sold Med. Sale Price Days on Market Sales Ratio

ATTACHED HOMES MARKET SUMMARY | MARCH 2018

  • Official Market Type: Balanced Market with an 18% Sales Ratio.1

  • Attached homes are selling for an average of 98% of list price.

  • The median luxury threshold2 price is $750,000, the median attached luxury sale price is $950,000.

  • Markets with the Highest Median Sales Price: Vail ($3,200,000), San Francisco ($2,245,000), Greater Boston ($2,060,000), and Park City ($1,950,000).

  • Markets with the Highest Sales Ratio: Silicon Valley (389%), Marin County (73%), San Francisco (62%), and LA-The Valley (60%).

    1Sales Ratio defines market speed and market type: Buyer's = up to 14%; Balanced = 15 to 20%; Seller's = 21% plus. If >100%, sales from previous month exceeds current inventory. 2The luxury threshold price is set in December of each year by The Institute for Luxury Home Marketing.

– LUXURY MONTHLY MARKET REVIEW –

SINGLE-FAMILY HOMES

Median Median New Days on Market State Market Name List Price Sold Price Inventory Listings Sold Market Status

AB Calgary $1,150,000 $1,060,000 580 273 95 31 Balanced

AZ

Phoenix

$759,450

$663,500

852

229

186

54

Seller's

AZ Scottsdale $1,795,000 $1,375,000 1,473 266 152 124 Buyer's

AZ

Tucson

$750,000

$628,750

787

164

82

43

Buyer's

BC Vancouver $3,998,000 $3,000,000 1,244 335 51 22 Buyer's

BC

Victoria

$1,850,000

$1,502,000

283

144

35

24

Buyer's

CA Los Angeles Beach Cities $4,989,000 $3,737,500 357 104 56 41 Balanced

CA

Los Angeles City

$4,000,000

$3,072,500

683

231

126

49

Balanced

CA Los Angeles The Valley $2,200,000 $1,757,500 487 195 139 43 Seller's

CA

Marin County

$3,492,500

$3,662,500

100

27

18

21

Balanced

CA Napa County $2,785,000 $1,762,000 88 29 11 97 Buyer's

CA

Orange County

$2,380,000

$1,850,000

1,459

482

263

30

Balanced

CA Palm Springs & Palm Desert $1,799,000 $1,450,000 707 145 70 97 Buyer's

CA

Sacramento

$798,500

$729,000

579

281

239

11

Seller's

CA San Diego $2,350,000 $1,690,000 1,193 445 260 31 Seller's

CA

San Francisco

$5,091,500

$3,105,000

50

21

35

15

Seller's

CA Santa Barbara $3,825,000 $3,197,500 213 69 24 34 Buyer's

CA

Silicon Valley

$5,500,000

$3,300,000

147

102

140

10

Seller's

CO Boulder $1,915,450 $1,497,500 172 68 49 37 Seller's

CO

Denver

$1,045,000

$850,000

917

351

338

12

Seller's

CO Vail $4,470,000 $4,460,000 122 8 6 93 Buyer's

DC

Washington DC

$3,675,000

$2,550,000

49

16

3

14

Buyer's

FL Boca Raton & Delray Beach $2,140,000 $2,150,000 637 103 36 86 Buyer's

FL

Jacksonville Beaches

$1,396,750

$1,270,000

72

14

12

71

Balanced

FL Miami $1,399,000 $950,000 1,397 245 94 97 Buyer's

Median prices represent properties priced above respective city benchmark prices.

– LUXURY MONTHLY MARKET REVIEW –

SINGLE-FAMILY HOMES

Median Median New Days on Market State Market Name List Price Sold Price Inventory Listings Sold Market Status

FL Naples $1,892,000 $1,781,250 1,424 221 124 66 Buyer's

FL

Palm Beach Towns

$3,062,500

$2,000,000

426

52

40

80

Buyer's

FL Sarasota & Beaches $1,607,450 $1,275,000 580 98 58 74 Buyer's

GA

Atlanta

$1,174,000

$940,000

1,369

474

157

47

Buyer's

HI Maui $3,350,000 $2,115,000 210 21 16 142 Buyer's

IL

Chicago

$1,250,000

$1,055,000

1,974

665

212

149

Buyer's

MA Greater Boston $3,280,000 $2,244,500 115 42 9 125 Buyer's

MD

Montgomery County

$1,790,756

$1,402,503

391

156

62

32

Balanced

MI Oakland County $750,000 $599,075 980 375 147 42 Balanced

MO

St. Louis

$750,000

$733,750

194

78

36

43

Balanced

NC Raleigh-Durham $700,000 $660,875 947 298 192 3 Balanced

NV

Las Vegas

$739,000

$649,950

1,214

421

268

48

Seller's

NY Brooklyn $1,500,000 $1,640,000 175 31 9 90 Buyer's

NY

Long Island

$1,488,000

$1,180,000

3,105

741

193

81

Buyer's

NY Staten Island $1,199,450 $985,000 140 37 13 69 Buyer's

ON

Toronto

$3,300,000

$2,937,500

407

227

52

10

Buyer's

TN Nashville $990,000 $903,000 309 124 83 43 Seller's

TX

Austin

$1,146,960

$813,200

698

277

202

20

Seller's

TX Collin County $725,000 $650,500 807 307 150 33 Balanced

TX

Dallas

$1,150,000

$882,500

720

247

139

24

Balanced

TX Houston $829,900 $720,000 1,777 548 261 82 Buyer's

TX

The Woodlands & Spring

$750,000

$699,995

491

165

68

153

Buyer's

UT Park City $3,495,000 $2,499,500 249 34 13 102 Buyer's

VA

Fairfax County

$1,598,500

$1,365,000

508

175

50

40

Buyer's

WA Seattle $1,895,000 $1,360,000 161 82 86 8 Seller's

Median prices represent properties priced above respective city benchmark prices.

– LUXURY MONTHLY MARKET REVIEW –

ATTACHED HOMES

Median Median New Days on Market State Market Name List Price Sold Price Inventory Listings Sold Market Status

AB Calgary $844,900 $808,750 292 130 44 33 Balanced

AZ

Phoenix

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

AZ Scottsdale $695,000 $651,500 176 43 41 85 Seller's

AZ

Tucson

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

BC Vancouver $1,988,900 $1,700,000 567 265 77 9 Buyer's

BC

Victoria

$899,950

$735,000

108

59

41

15

Seller's

CA Los Angeles Beach Cities $1,619,000 $1,357,500 77 29 34 10 Seller's

CA

Los Angeles City

$1,698,500

$1,282,500

230

90

72

27

Seller's

CA Los Angeles The Valley $699,000 $680,000 105 64 63 31 Seller's

CA

Marin County

$1,295,000

$1,242,500

11

5

8

28

Seller's

CA Napa County

-------

CA

Orange County

$1,089,000

$967,250

339

132

130

17

Seller's

CA Palm Springs & Palm Desert

-------

CA

Sacramento

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

CA San Diego $1,149,500 $866,250 436 196 108 19 Seller's

CA

San Francisco

$2,595,000

$2,245,000

69

26

43

15

Seller's

CA Santa Barbara $1,680,000 $1,535,000 36 6 8 63 Seller's

CA

Silicon Valley

$1,450,000

$1,468,000

27

27

105

8

Seller's

CO Boulder $879,450 $900,000 52 24 17 67 Seller's

CO

Denver

$689,900

$598,000

399

171

185

17

Seller's

CO Vail $3,224,000 $3,200,000 80 7 12 44 Balanced

DC

Washington

$1,822,500

$1,615,200

124

63

32

6

Seller's

FL Boca Raton & Delray Beach $835,638 $760,000 404 70 55 63 Buyer's

FL

Jacksonville Beaches

$1,299,000

$815,000

35

12

4

73

Buyer's

FL Miami $999,000 $950,000 2,856 361 75 183 Buyer's

Markets with dashes do not have a significant luxury market for this report. Median prices represent properties priced above respective city benchmark prices.

– LUXURY MONTHLY MARKET REVIEW –

ATTACHED HOMES

Median Median New Days on Market State Market Name List Price Sold Price Inventory Listings Sold Market Status

FL Naples $1,995,000 $1,900,000 380 65 37 54 Buyer's

FL

Palm Beach Towns

$1,499,000

$1,276,703

255

43

30

82

Buyer's

FL Sarasota & Beaches $1,190,000 $1,200,000 232 47 54 52 Seller's

GA

Atlanta

$694,900

$599,900

515

121

81

45

Balanced

HI Maui $1,660,000 $1,855,000 146 16 18 135 Buyer's

IL

Chicago

$1,250,800

$975,729

885

304

142

96

Balanced

MA Greater Boston $2,496,500 $2,060,000 186 74 55 22 Seller's

MD

Montgomery County

$794,495

$720,000

186

75

48

17

Seller's

MI Oakland County $986,900 $607,500 59 34 9 85 Balanced

MO

St. Louis

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

NC Raleigh-Durham - - - - - - -

NV

Las Vegas

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

NY Brooklyn $949,000 $900,000 61 14 1 64 Buyer's

NY

Long Island

$935,760

$898,500

270

69

18

83

Buyer's

NY Staten Island - - - - - - -

ON

Toronto

$1,225,000

$1,128,440

279

207

138

11

Seller's

TN Nashville $699,000 $850,000 87 36 9 82 Buyer's

TX

Austin

$740,000

$636,500

186

66

26

59

Buyer's

TX Collin County - - - - - - -

TX

Dallas

$704,250

$675,000

208

54

21

37

Buyer's

TX Houston $635,000 $672,750 212 82 28 141 Buyer's

TX

The Woodlands & Spring

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

UT Park City $1,972,500 $1,950,000 190 16 17 35 Buyer's

VA

Fairfax County

$703,010

$677,450

119

70

60

8

Seller's

WA Seattle $1,439,950 $1,100,000 82 27 34 12 Seller's

Markets with dashes do not have a significant luxury market for this report. Median prices represent properties priced above respective city benchmark prices.